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Mexico vs South Korea Prediction

Group A · Thursday, June 18 · 9:00 PM ET · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara · TV: FOX (English), Peacock (Spanish)

Our prediction

Model win probability

43% Mexico 27% Draw 30% South Korea

Mexico come in with the stronger tournament so far (3 pts, +2 goal difference vs 3 pts, +1). Our lean: Mexico.

Win probabilities from our Elo-based Monte Carlo model (methodology). Editorial preview, not betting advice.

Where they stand

Mexico sit 1st in Group A with 3 points from 1 game. South Korea are 2nd with 3 points from 1 game. Top two qualify directly for the Round of 32; third can advance among the eight best thirds.

Group A

TeamPWDLGDPts
1 🇲🇽Mexico 110 0+2 3
2 🇰🇷South Korea 110 0+1 3
3 🇨🇿Czechia 100 1-1 0
4 🇿🇦South Africa 100 1-2 0

Form this tournament

Mexico

Group A · Estadio Azteca, Mexico City · FOX FT
🇲🇽 Mexico 2
🇿🇦 South Africa 0

South Korea

Group A · Estadio Akron, Guadalajara · FS1 FT
🇰🇷 South Korea 2
🇨🇿 Czechia 1

Match info

Kickoff: Thursday, June 18, 9:00 PM ET (US Eastern)
Venue: Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
TV (US): FOX in English, Peacock in Spanish. All streaming options

Mexico schedule · South Korea schedule · Bracket